FloatingHope
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Follow me, I will update every day, and I will send out suitable points separately.
Tonight (July 30), the key driving factors for the Ethereum market focus on three major events: the Fed's interest rate decision, the White House's first digital asset policy report, and the "anniversary market" coinciding with Ethereum's tenth anniversary.
1. The Impact Logic of Three Major Events in the Evening
1. Fed FOMC (Decision announced on July 30 at 20:30 Beijing time, Powell press conference at 02:30)
• The market consensus expects to "stay put," with the real volatility coming from Powell's hints about a rate cut in September.
• If any dovish wording appears, risk assets (including
ETH1.26%
BTC0.36%
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#晒出我的合约收益# eating back and forth, feeling great
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On the morning of July 30, the Ethereum market showed that after the K-line in the 4-hour chart dipped to around 3715, it weakly rebounded. Currently, it is close to the EMA30 and middle band range, and is once again under pressure. The fast and slow lines have opened a death cross, and the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart continue to contract. The upper band limits the short-term rebound space, and after the middle band support was broken, attention should be paid to the EMA10 and EMA15 range. If it fails, it may dip to the lower band around 3630. Trading suggestions: shorting at points abo
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The impact of tonight's US stock market opening on Ethereum (ETH): Recently, the trends in the US stock market have had a significant impact on Ethereum, which has shown a tendency to fall without rising. However, there has been a clear influx of funds recently, exceeding expectations. Currently, Ethereum is in a strong state, contrary to the previous expectation of a decline after obtaining short positions liquidity. It is necessary to follow the breakthrough of key levels.
About the take profit and stop loss levels for opening positions:
• Entry point: 3522 (aggressive long position, 0.886 p
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From the market data on July 28 (yesterday), ETH fluctuated in the range of 3600-3900 USD:
• Short-term support level is around 3672 USD, resistance level is around 3904 USD.
• The 1 week/1 month rating is "Buy" or even "Strong Buy".
• The daily RSI has risen above 70, indicating a potential short-term overbought pullback risk; the MACD momentum bars are shortening, suggesting a weakening of bullish strength.
Operational Suggestions
1. If you want to "bottom fish" for a short-term long position: you can wait for the price to pull back to the 3600-3670 USD range to build the first position in
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#晒出我的合约收益# well done, I woke up to a stop loss, I'll go down to 3700 and continue to buy it.
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Ethereum market on July 28, 2025
• New High: Ethereum (ETH) breaks $3940, reaching a new high for 2025, just 22% away from its all-time high, but technical indicators (RSI at 84.74) have shown overbought conditions, indicating short-term pullback risks.
• Regulation and Market Expectations: Although the GENIUS Act provides a regulatory framework for stablecoins, the SEC's determination of the securities characteristics of Ether remains uncertain.
• PoS Network Dynamics: Approximately 660,000 ETH (about $254 million) are queued to exit the Ethereum PoS network, while 263,000 ETH (about $101 m
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#晒出我的持仓收益# I didn't wait for 62 and just went in directly.
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We will soon be at the location, just go in a bit more and it will be done #以太坊#
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#以太坊重返3800# 3862 place a long order, get to 4000, and if it falls, it will be after breaking 4000.
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Once it reaches 4000, there's no going back, it's just a matter of time. Those who are more aggressive can just dive right in #以太坊# .
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[Morning Highlights Review on July 28, 2025]
1. Macroeconomics: As the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting approaches on July 29-30, the market continues to price in expectations for a 25 bp rate cut, the dollar index has retreated, and risk assets are generally trending warmer.
2. Funding: Tether has issued an additional 2 billion USDT in the past two days, and the expansion of stablecoin supply is seen as a short-term driving force for the increase.
3. Technical Analysis: ETH has bounced back after two consecutive "false breaks" below the Bollinger lower band (approximately 3,530–3,550 a
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Important news on the evening of July 27, 2025
1. Whale Movements: On July 25, a certain whale was forced to close a short position at the ETH price of $3528.85, indicating that short-term bearish forces are being hindered.
2. Market Rhythm: The article from July 25 points out that ETH is in a sideways consolidation after the "second peak in the early morning," with short-term fluctuations increasing. A daily amplitude of 200-300 dollars has become the norm, and one must be wary of the "boiling frog" style of decline.
3. Macroeconomic environment: U.S. tariffs and monetary policy remain the ma
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The more you say, the more there is, but it still ran early.
#晒出我的合约收益#
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1. Key Price
• Current Price: 3,750 USDT
• Daily high: 3,782
• Daily Low: 3,636
• 15 min Bollinger Bands: Upper Band 3,790, Lower Band 3,640
2. 100× Leverage Ultra Aggressive Position
1. Direction: Breakout in favor of the trend (short-term bullish momentum is not exhausted)
Trigger: 3 790
Stop Loss: 3,745
Take profit: 3 825
2. Reverse Short (Fake Breakout Counter)
Trigger: 15 min appears 3 800 long upper shadow or RSI > 90 divergence
Stop loss: 3 815
Take profit: 3,730
#优质合约内容官#
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LuckyMoneyFairy8vip:
1
2025-07-27 Ethereum (ETH) intraday trend assessment
1. Macroeconomic level: As the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaches in early August, the market tends to price in the expectation of "maintaining high interest rates" in advance, suppressing the overall risk asset sentiment.
2. The sustainability of Ethereum spot buying is in doubt: Recent ETH price increases have been driven mainly by spot demand from "coin-stock subscriptions." If relevant companies cannot continue to raise funds like MicroStrategy, buying pressure may dry up, and ETH may enter a period of volatility.
3. Regu
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Tonight's Ethereum Trend Prediction and Strategy (2025-07-26)
1. Trend Analysis
• Key levels: Currently, ETH is oscillating in the range of $3600-$3700. If it breaks below $3600, it may test the support at $3400; if it holds above $3700 and breaks through $3750, it is expected to challenge $4000.
• Emotion Indicator: Greed Index 71 (Extreme Greed), short-term volatility 16.3%, 70% of trading days up.
2. Entry and Take Profit/Stop Loss Strategies
• Entry price: $3550-3600 (close to today's low point, can accumulate positions in batches if there is a quick pullback).
• Take profit: First targe
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On July 26th, the afternoon analysis of the Ethereum (ETH) short-term trend.
1. Latest Key Price Levels
• Strong resistance: $3,850 – $3,900 (the intraday high coincides with the recent high), and above that is the psychological level of $4,000.
• Core support: $3,680 (short-term strong support) → $3,190 (0.786 retracement level) → $3,000 – $2,900 range (deep pullback buying zone).
• Current price range: If the current report is still between 3,750 – 3,800 USD, it is in the "below resistance, above support" bracket area.
2. Evening trend inference
1. Scenario A: Risk event materializes or US
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BTC0.36%
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7.26eth
1. Current Market Snapshot
1. Price Range
• 24h range: 3563–3758 USDT
• This Friday (7-25), ETH options expire, with the maximum pain point at 2800 USDT, Put/Call 0.87, and shorts still accounting for 3–4%.
• Large orders in dark pools show signs of long-term accumulation in the range of 2350–2450, indicating that institutions do not believe that above 3600 is an absolute high.
2. Technical Analysis
• 4h MACD: The histogram has shortened negatively but has not yet crossed over; momentum is neutral but slightly bullish.
• 4h K-line: After a large bearish candle in yesterday's morning se
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The current market sentiment's impact on Ethereum's trend.
1. Greed sentiment remains high.
As of today (July 26), the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is at 71, remaining in the "Greed" zone for several consecutive days. This sentiment usually brings about two opposing effects:
• Supporting high-level consolidation: Bulls still have sufficient momentum, buying on dips in the $3,600 to $3,650 range to prevent a deep price drop;
• Accumulation of pullback risk: Extreme greed is often a breeding ground for short-term tops. Once the buying fails to keep up, profit-taking will flood out, amplif
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FOMO-3.89%
RWA-3.33%
IKA25.77%
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