February 4, 2024 Write whatever you want

I made a review today, and the following points can be determined at present
1. There is a lot of pressure above, and the trend is along the direction of small resistance, and it is likely to be sideways or down in the near future
But if you want to break through the previous high, it is estimated that it will be difficult during the New Year, which is why you were asked not to Long before
2, the Big Pie's 49000 fell to 38500, Ethereum's 2720 fell to 2170 should be 1 wave, currently in 2 waves
But whether the 2 waves are over is still a question mark, because the time is indeed a bit long, and the key point is 2330,
If 2330 rises again, it is likely to hit 2380 and 2420-2440 again, and then fall after a top pattern
Although I think this scenario is less likely, it does come close to the trend line, in case of a dog farm
The brain convulsions are really going up, so you have to be mentally prepared.
Unsure, there are the following:
1. Whether to go to 2420-2440 first and then fall, or to fall directly below 2280 and then accelerate the fall, in fact, 2390 is likely to be the top
It's just that the level is different. If 2390 is the top, then now it is a 4-wave rebound from 2717, but it can't go down again
Then 2717 to 2170 is 1 wave, and the probability of 2170 rebounding to now being 2 waves is gradually increasing, and it is possible to go around 2440 and fall again
Therefore, it depends on whether the trend line is broken, that is, whether the point of 2330 will go up again.
2. If 2390 is the top, it will fall directly below 2280, then there will be a small 5 waves, which is what I told you
The position of EMA144 and EMA169 on the daily chart, you can try long, and then Rebound, and then look at the pressure at 2440, continue to fall N down
3. If you really go to 2440, that is, it is determined that the 2170 rise is 2 waves, then the next 3 waves will be a bit scary
If you think about it, wave 1 fell by 550 points, and then fell down at 2440, even if you take the ABCD structure, then it will fall to the beginning of 18.
In terms of the box, 2100-2400 is a box, and if it falls below the 2100 box, then it will also go to 1800.
The middle band of the Bollinger Bands on the monthly chart is currently valued at 1760, and it should be close to 1820 by the end of the month, which is likely to depend on this position
And the Big Pie is also, an important support level of 35000, which almost corresponds to 1800.
In summary:
1. The key point is 2330, whether it breaks through, and the breakthrough is likely to go to 2380 and 2440 again to test the pressure
2, the key point of 2440 but (I think the possibility of the past is very small), then it is to continue to fall sharply, and the past is to continue to move sideways
3. The key point near 2100 (see the daily chart EMA144 and EMA169) support, this position is a bit of a bet,
If you don't have a list, try to buy a long order here, and if you have a short order, reduce your position here
4. The key position is above 1820, and more orders can be arranged here, and if you can get it, you can earn it
The above points are a little vague, and I no longer force the exact points to make orders now, except for this position near 2100
Other positions should basically not lose or carry orders for a long time, and you can add or subtract points by yourself to consider making orders.
The above analysis only represents personal views and does not constitute investment advice.