WhenIsTheAutumnRain?
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🌹Bitcoin is moving sideways, Ether is leading the alts rebound, lying in ambush for 100% big pump tokens + Autumn Rain No. 7 layout for Spot are all To da moon🛫️


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The price trend of Bitcoin is overall showing a sideways fluctuation, with prices fluctuating within a certain range, currently around 94750. The market has seen important patterns at multiple points, such as the bearish engulfing pattern, indicating that there may be a risk of a short-term decline.
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🌹In the short term, the market has just experienced a round of rise and has entered a consolidation phase. The AO and MACD indicators suggest that the market may show signs of stabilizing and rebounding, but the balance of buying and selling forces keeps the market in a wait-and-see state. Support and resistance levels indicate that the current market maintains an optimistic sentiment and has strong upward momentum.
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Suggestion: Given that the market has recently maintained a sideways trend, there may be signs of adjustment and potential rebound opportunities in the short term. Pay attention to the key support level at 93777 and the resistance level at 95768.6, especially the stability of the support level. If the price continues to rise, consider going long in the short term and setting appropriate stop-loss points.
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🌹【ETH may pull back to 1650, otherwise it has no strength to rise】 You all should have seen that $ETH has been performing very strongly recently due to ETF purchases, and the market retail investors followed suit, leading to a strong price that was heavily penetrated early on, which hurt the E soldiers' hearts. Now it’s different because the ETF purchases have made the price unusually firm, and ETH has started to break through previous highs, with a 24-hour rise of 3%, currently reported at 1846 USD. I still maintain the previous view; 1895 is a strong resistance level. A piercing top pattern has appeared on the daily level (weaker than BTC), so it’s time to reduce positions. In the future, consider re-entering long if it pulls back to 1650.
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As for the future of ETH, different people have different opinions. It is still worth it, as long as you manage the risks well! Just now, while reviewing, I suddenly realized a problem: If you, like me, bought $ETH at the bottom of 1800 on April 5th and did not make any moves in between, just holding it, you have just now broken even.
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The main direction is betting on a 57 Ether upgrade, wagering on a rate cut in June. Currently, all major influencers in the network are bearish, and this consistency is a problem. The current core points of focus in altcoins are:
1. There haven't been any significant changes at the macro level, trade negotiations are still ongoing, and if no agreement is reached by July, Trump has stated that the relevant tariff policies will continue.
2. Yesterday continued to welcome a Rebound market, $Trump led the meme to continue rebounding, and currently $pengu $bonk $tubo $pnut and others are performing relatively strongly.
3. The AI sector has experienced a significant rebound after a sharp decline. $ai16z, $aixbt, $virtual, and others have all seen substantial rebounds, having fallen for 3 months, but it only took less than a week to rise.
4. Sol chain Recently, the golden dog has been frequent, and yesterday $house was booming in the circle. This is a project that hedges against the real estate market. The market value had been stable at around 7M, but yesterday it was suddenly pumped up, and the FDV directly reached over 55M.
5. The new meme platform #lestbonk released by BONK skyrocketed to an FDV of around 30M right after its birth, currently it's less than 10M. If there's short-term FOMO, make sure to remember to sell.
6. Stablecoin growth; USDT (14.7 billion), USDC (62 billion) market capitalization continues to rise, indicating inflow of funds.
CEX operation: $alpaca uses a contract rate of -2% for 1 hour to settle the Rebound Spot, forcing a squeeze market.
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🌹A batch of established alts has already completed the full cycle of overbought - oversold in this round, with BSV's trend being the most typical. Interestingly, in this rebound, the strength of many established coins has clearly outperformed ETH. #BCH反弹了 54.62%,#BSV has risen nearly 93.88%, #SOL回升了 42.67%,#AAVE has increased by 51.72%... You can continue to pay attention to these leading established coins in the rotation...
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At present, we have experienced the worst of the macro environment, and now it has basically recovered, and after the market continues to adjust and completely restore confidence, the market will begin to change from a rebound to a reversal.  If the interest rate is not cut in May, then the interest rate will be cut in June, and when the time comes, the market will be on the verge of breaking out with the introduction of relevant policies such as relevant negotiations, so the whole May and June is a good time to make a dip layout. Let's talk about the target that Lao Chen thinks is good: Logic 1 Crypto has no community, only hot spots Logic 2 American politics and macro will be the main hot spots of this wave of market Logic 3 Hot spots determine the direction, and the number of large exchanges on the board determines the liquidity basis Logic 4 The advantages and disadvantages of the two targets of Trump and Pnut are obvious, and the advantage is that the relationship is the most direct/Mingzhuang; The disadvantage is that I don't know how this Mingzhuang is going to play, and I will pour it directly or pull a wave of water. For security reasons, PNUT was chosen.
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🌹This Wednesday's PCE inflation data has arrived, and it looks very bullish. The market expects the PCE to drop sharply by 0.3% from the previous value to 2.2%, and the core PCE is also expected to plummet by 0.2% to 2.6%, both returning to normal levels. This likely indicates the Federal Reserve's success in combating inflation and the beginning of interest rate cuts, largely due to the crisis caused by tariff declines, which will greatly increase the probability of rate cuts by the Fed, a silver lining in a crisis. The first interest rate cut by the Fed is crucial; it's a signal for the bull market to start, and I hope everything goes smoothly.
#trump# #alpaca# #sui# #eth# #btc#
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