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Beneath the domed ceiling of a casino in Las Vegas, a clock without hands hangs forever. The contract market is such a surreal existence, where there is no cycle of day and night, no mercy or compassion, only the ceaseless dance of Candlestick.
As the numbers leap across the screen, countless people watch the fluctuations in their account balances, completing a soul's self-sacrifice, yet are unwilling to admit: this market is essentially a gigantic mathematics laboratory, where participants are variables driven by greed and fear.
This laboratory operates under three basic laws:
The first law reveals the essence of zero-sum games, where every profit corresponds to a loss in some account, and exchanges are always extracting energy entropy.
The second law declares the existence of probability traps. When leverage increases the win rate to 51%, human weaknesses will compress the actual win rate to 49%;
The third law demonstrates the reflexivity curse, where the market always exploits participants' cognitive biases to create moments of strangulation. Just like the observer effect in quantum physics, at the moment a trader opens the market software, the market has already distorted because it is being observed.
The experimentalists who truly survive have mastered three survival codes. They think about probabilities like quantum computers, precisely controlling the amount of chips for each bet using the Kelly formula, understanding that 6 small losses, 3 breakevens, and 1 big win out of 10 trades is the ultimate algorithm. They implant the "Crocodile Rule" into their trading system, and when losses devour the preset warning line, they decisively cut losses like severing an arm caught by a crocodile.
More importantly, it is about cultivating an anti-human trading personality, maintaining a clear mind during market euphoria, and initiating reverse thinking during collective panic, penetrating emotional barriers like the quantum tunneling effect.
In this digital coliseum, the Candlestick is merely a projection of human fluctuations, and account balance is essentially a quantitative measure of cognitive ability. Those traders who consistently profit have actually completed a quantum leap from "market participants" to "market observers."
They are no longer obsessed with predicting market trends, but rather with building probabilistic advantages; they no longer oppose market trends, but follow the flow of funds; they no longer believe in the myth of getting rich quickly, but pursue the miracle of compound interest.
As Nietzsche said, "What does not kill me makes me stronger." In the brutal laboratory of the futures market, only by forging oneself into a precise human scanner and probability calculator can one turn the market's meat grinder into an alchemical furnace for wealth.